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It is understood that there will be no big risk on our exchange rate side at the moment, and the stock market will not be as pessimistic as everyone thinks, and there are enough bullets.Finally, let's talk about value investment. You can read a book called "Smart Investor". There is almost no value investment at this time. The so-called core assets you eat are his growth attributes, while the value itself puts forward that Graham, the teacher of investor Buffett, was born in a big era and was originally a manufacturing industry. It is very simple how much your computer room equipment is worth. As long as your stock is lower than this price, there is a margin of safety. This is the meaning of value investment itself, and the current company value is very high. I don't know who cared about dpi in the primary market in 15 years. I only care about the dream value, and why a large number of institutions like to buy Maotai, because it is the company with the simplest financial statement in the whole A-share market (except the one that runs scallops), and its price-earnings ratio, spread, poor growth rate and valuation center are all good ways to evaluate, including some ETFs that have fallen into transformers.It's amazing. Remember the picture we drew in the post last week? I didn't wipe it here, so I'll show it to you. Last week, we talked about stepping back to confirm the trend intensity, and touched the horizontal center near 3375 to get a grade 4b. In fact, from our point of view, Thursday was already a short-selling structure with long-term exhaustion. As a result, a positive line was directly repaired, and if it was wrong, it was beaten to attention. You said that the national team didn't know the technology, but he knew the long-short power too well. Let's take a look at the current market in combination with the macro.

As you can see, as long as the weight is not hard to pull, the index is a range shock, but the theme is crazy, full of money-making effect and money-losing effect. Slow cattle are a lot of tenbiger stocks, but the Shanghai Stock Exchange may look back and the annual line will rise by about 10%. This is slow cattle.We used to tell you that we should look at the expectation of news stimulus together with exchange rate, national debt and bulk. From our point of view, the biggest problem in the A-share market lies in the mood. Compared with other markets, professional investors will be relatively calm. Let's take a look at Friday's composition about the biggest interest rate cut in ten years, right? Let's look at the exchange rate, national debt and commodities, which are definitely devalued. When the A-share market moves, it is accelerating the appreciation range. Look at 30 bonds and 10 bonds. Theoretically, the interest rate is reduced, and the interest rate is also reversed. Let's look at commodities. The sharp differences fell below 0.5 of Fibonacci's retracement after the morning closing, and even hit a new low at night. Several representative threads and so on can almost be said to have gone down after a while, that is, the attitude of big money is an emotion. On the other hand, A shares resisted all day, so you said that the national team did not intervene?So for next week, since it's super week, we'd better respect it, such as lowering positions, unloading leverage, meetings, and our cpi. This expectation can all go to 0.5, and the cpi of America is expected to go to 2.7. If these two important data are added to a meeting, the capital market will fluctuate violently, and there will be two turning points of re-inflation. Here's a data, remember what we said a long time ago.

Then the difference of this bull market is that it is no longer resonated by external factors, or internal and external factors. This round of our excess stock savings has already seen its power after 924, which is only slightly loose.So for the current index, since you price this information, in principle, it is not allowed to fall below the starting point of information pricing, and the starting point resonates with the trend and horizontal central neckline, then neither 3380 nor the original trend is allowed to fall below in a short period of time.It is necessary to adjust the interest rate of 10/30 bonds in the future. The yield of the anchor 10-year government bonds priced by capital assets fell below 2%. Remember the spread between stocks and bonds we talked about? This is a good phenomenon. Before, A shares were not anchored by this anchor, which also confirmed that the initial intention of this round of "bull market" was the re-pricing of RMB assets. This 2% is equivalent to a calm lake. Real estate, stocks and other assets are all canoes above, but you can see that the stock market is declining, so there is bound to be a factor accelerating. Is real estate?